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CHAPTER 07OVERVIEW2 MIN READ

Freight and shipping

A barrel priced in one place is worth something else in another. Freight is the difference.

WHY IT MATTERS

The price of a cargo at origin is only the starting point. Freight and voyage costs determine whether it can compete at destination.

Crude is produced where it is found and consumed where the refineries are, and those are rarely the same place. Moving it is a large industry with its own market, its own pricing conventions, and its own cycles, and it is the mechanism that connects every regional crude price to every other one.

Freight matters to a crude desk for three reasons. It sets the width of every geographic arbitrage, so it determines whether a differential between two regions is an opportunity or just a transport cost. It is a cost of the storage trade at the expensive end of the curve. And it is a demand signal in its own right, because tonne-miles rise when trade routes lengthen even if total volume is flat.

The pricing conventions are unlike anything else in the oil market and are the main barrier to entry. Rates are quoted in Worldscale, a percentage of a published notional rate for each specific route, which then converts to dollars per tonne and finally to dollars per barrel using a grade-specific density. Owners think in time charter equivalent, a daily earning figure, because that is what they compare against operating cost.

Worldscale to dollars per barrelWS 65quoted market levelx flat rate $18.00/tpublished per route, annually= $11.70 / tonneroute cost in weight/ 7.5 bbl per tonneGRADE-specific divisor= $1.56 / barrelwhat the desk usesA flat 7.33 embeds one grade's density into every route it touches.
The conversion chain from a Worldscale quote to a dollar-per-barrel freight cost.

The fleet is segmented by vessel size, and the segments are not interchangeable because ports, canals and straits impose physical limits. See vessel classes. Route choice is constrained further by chokepoints, a handful of narrow passages through which a large share of seaborne crude must pass.

FRTFreight RatesLIVE FROM THE DESKOpen on the desk
Route rates and bunker indications from the sources the board carries.
CHAPTER 07

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